mercoledì, dicembre 01, 2004

Ucraina - Consigli dai think tank Usa

Di seguito uno spunto dell'analisi di Leon Aron, scholar fellow dell'American Enterprise Institute, esperto di Russia ed Europa orientale (è nato in Russia).

"With the Supreme Court of Ukraine attempting to settle the country's disputed presidential election and a majority of parliament having voted to invalidate the results, the tide is turning in favor of the contender, Viktor Yushchenko, the pro-Western candidate who favors democracy and liberal capitalism over corruption and dependence on Russia. This is good news for the United States, but as the Bush administration urges a peaceful resolution--most likely with a new election, which Yushchenko is expected to win--it needs to counsel the winner to act magnanimously and cautiously toward his opponents. Without this, the United States (and the West) could snatch the defeat of a deep political crisis, perhaps even a civil conflict and the country's break up, from the jaws of a democratic triumph".

Qui l'articolo completo[Link].
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Questo invece è un estratto dell'intervista a Bob Schaffer, un ex membro del Congresso americano che ha fatto parte del gruppo di osservatori delle elezioni ucraine. Racconta alla National Review le sue impressioni sul voto, sui manifestanti, sulla voglia di libertà che soffia sulle sponde del Dnieper.

"The revolution has been dubbed "The Orange Revolution," orange being the campaign color of Viktor Yushchenko. The demonstrators say they are tired of living under a corrupt government and in a corrupt society. They are totally convinced Yushchenko won the election and that the will of the people has been thwarted by the government and by Moscow. They intend to stand their ground until their victory is recognized in Ukraine and throughout the world".

Qui l'intervista integrale [Link].
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Sul sito della Heritage Foundation, invece, Ariel Cohen (Research Fellow in Russia ed Eurasia) si preoccupa della possibilità che la Russia riprenda influenza nella zona eurasiatica se, nonostante i brogli, dovesse essere legittimata la vittoria del candidato filo-russo, Victor Yanukovich. Qui l'intera ricerca di Cohen [Link].

"The outcome of the Ukrainian presidential elections could dramatically increase Moscow's influence in Eurasia. If former Prime Minister Victor Yanukovich (the Kremlin's preferred candidate) is elected, the Kremlin would virtually control the Ukrainian presidency. That would allow Russia to exercise greater geopolitical influence in Ukraine and would increase Moscow's political momentum in the rest of Eurasia".

Qui l'intera ricerca di Cohen [Link].